Building On Popular Belief

A self-reinforcing process in which the popular belief that something is right, by being continually repeated in a public discourse, causes it to be thought to be the right thing to do (This error can be counteracted by the following phrase: “Repeat A lie enough does not make it come true “).

This point is difficult to relate directly to poker, but there are clear examples that explain.

The idea behind this concept is that there are times when a strategy begins to create its “momentum” and is increasingly accepted, even if this is not the best strategy.

Basically, we are talking about group mentality. Strategy A is a correct strategy because everyone says it. This fact makes a positive reaction to this strategy.

Another way to approach this point is to see that there are players like Vanessa Selbst, Tom Dwan or Viktor Blom who play in an unusual way that creates conflicts with the traditional (and socially accepted) strategy.

The problem of ignoring popular beliefs (aside from not always being right) is that if you play 100% following a strategy or books, your game becomes too predictable and therefore vulnerable.

The answer to this point would be to evaluate all information critically and not follow any strategy because it is fashionable or people say it works.

 Follow innovations

There is a natural tendency in society to be overly optimistic about an invention or innovation, often failing to identify its limitations and weaknesses.

Magic: The Gathering is a constantly evolving game in which new cards are introduced. Sometimes, new sets receive undeserved praise just for being the novelty.

Poker is a much more static game, so there are not too many innovations or tends to look for quirky new things. The winning strategies (and usual at the tables) have varied little in the last ten years.

Perhaps the only way to relate this point to poker is when in the second part of the first decade of this century and the advent of the online poker boom, it served many players to follow a strategy of continuous aggression, to play as Dario Minieri Or Tom Dwan.

This style of play had a lot of followers to see the people that Dwan managed to defeat the players of the old school in the high stakes with marginal hands.

No one had seen such a strategy before and everyone wanted to “durrrr” (Dwan’s nickname) to their opponents.

The action has slowed down considerably since then since most people have realized that they are not Tom Dwan and that, at the time that had many followers, this is not the correct strategy for the vast majority of players.


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